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ARMENGRIGORYAN
Armenia’sMembershipintheEurasianEconomicUnion:
AnEconomicChallengeandPossibleConsequences
forRegionalSecurity
Introduction
JustsixweeksafterfinalisingnegotiationsontheEU-Armenia
AssociationAgreementandtheDeepandComprehensiveFreeTrade
Agreement(DCFTA),Armeniachangeddirectionabruptly.Immediately
afternegotiationswithRussianPresidentVladimirPutininMoscowon
3September2013,PresidentSerzhSargsyanannouncedthatArmeniawould
jointheRussia-ledCustomsUnion,andlaterontheEurasianEconomic
Union(EEU).
Officialstatementsmadebeforehadnotindicatedthelikelihoodofsucha
policyturn.BackinApril2012,PrimeMinisterTigranSargsyanhadtoldthe
RussiannewspaperKommersantwhyArmeniawouldnotjointheCustoms
Union:“Inglobalpracticethereisnoexampleofacountryjoiningacustoms
unionwithouthavingacommonborder.…Wewouldonlygetintotrouble
withhighertariffsandtaxes.Itisnotreasonablefromtheeconomicpointof
view.…TheCustomsUniondoesnotprovideanyfunctionalinstrumentsfor
oureconomicplayers.Therefore,itisofnouse.”1ShortlybeforeSargsyan’s
visittoMoscow,on21August2013,ShavarshKocharyan,deputyminister
forforeignaffairs,hadsaidthatenteringtheRussianblocwouldmean
“sayinggoodbyetoone’ssovereignty.”2
1
Y
.Chernenko,“Tamozhennyisoyuzneimeyetdlyanassmysla,”Kommersant,4April
2012.
2
A.Harutyunyan,“AfterEUTalks,ArmeniaSwingsBacktoMoscow,”13September
2013,www.iwpr.net.
ThePolishQuarterlyofInternationalAffairs,2015,no.4
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